Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.012923 1.141790 1.282295 1.447108 1.635451 1.844325 2.094014
2025-12-28 0.842066 1.018272 1.225669 1.488806 1.815213 2.208640 2.721547
2026-01-04 0.720892 0.923094 1.176497 1.519673 1.975784 2.566009 3.395464
2026-01-11 0.632158 0.849417 1.136534 1.547680 2.127752 2.926495 4.126200
2026-01-18 0.560858 0.785434 1.096129 1.563197 2.257685 3.268208 4.879481
2026-01-25 0.493448 0.716067 1.036481 1.538998 2.321458 3.517022 5.528135
2026-02-01 0.428297 0.640876 0.957492 1.472711 2.308080 3.640866 5.992487
2026-02-08 0.380241 0.585151 0.900078 1.430313 2.322984 3.806005 6.543400
2026-02-15 0.342425 0.540755 0.854545 1.399876 2.350854 3.992113 7.154102
2026-02-22 0.324789 0.526415 0.854901 1.444432 2.510102 4.422756 8.274662
2026-03-01 0.303869 0.504251 0.839515 1.459159 2.616875 4.771372 9.293414
2026-03-08 0.277995 0.471013 0.801656 1.428956 2.636121 4.957050 10.014297
2026-03-15 0.251773 0.435703 0.758434 1.387343 2.634963 5.115924 10.736961
2026-03-22 0.242274 0.429284 0.766363 1.443338 2.833320 5.705535 12.510894
2026-03-29 0.230955 0.418380 0.764848 1.480770 2.999530 6.255067 14.308366
2026-04-05 0.219803 0.406626 0.760380 1.511534 3.155879 6.807889 16.229545
2026-04-12 0.208067 0.392556 0.749859 1.528286 3.283839 7.316965 18.150280
2026-04-19 0.193253 0.371028 0.722314 1.505409 3.319377 7.615975 19.588417
2026-04-26 0.175794 0.342639 0.678108 1.441022 3.249984 7.651054 20.318196
2026-05-03 0.162222 0.321005 0.645892 1.399761 3.230032 7.805906 21.419674
2026-05-10 0.150945 0.303168 0.620041 1.370099 3.234361 8.023593 22.753581
2026-05-17 0.146806 0.299999 0.625357 1.413644 3.427696 8.770378 25.864402
2026-05-24 0.140576 0.291785 0.618805 1.428039 3.548216 9.340092 28.558480